Hoboken Weather Watch 12/11/2008
Too warm to snow – but it seems our area is now under a flood watch, and that the heaviest of the rain will begin to fall after 6pm tonight. Predicted rainfall amounts for Hoboken as of 4am Thursday was 2.96 inches. Greaaaaat.
Flood Watch Issued
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH FOR HUDSON COUNTY NJ.
FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT BETWEEN 3 TO 4 INCHES, LOCALLY HIGHER, IS EXPECTED TO FALL ACROSS THE AREA STARTING THURSDAY MORNING AND LASTING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS AT THIS TIME ARE EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT AND EASTERN LONG ISLAND.
THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE FLOODING ACROSS HIGHLY URBANIZED AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY IN RURAL SECTIONS, COULD BECOME IMPASSABLE AT TIMES. IN ADDITION, THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR MINOR RIVER FLOODING.
Yucky weather ahead
Don’t be fooled by the ridiculously unseasonable warmth (almost 70 today) out there right now! It’ll be back in the 20’s by Thursday night.
Anyway, I’ve been keeping an eye on the discussion about the storm that is about to come upon us. Last weekend, some weather freakazoids were praying for and predicting the possibility of a snowy winter nor’easter for the big cities along the I-95 Corridor. However, as the week progressed, so did the forecasting models. At one point the forecast was for about 4″ of snow, a quarter inch of ice, and a small amount of rain for our area.
Because of the “timing” and “path” of these low-pressure systems, along with the warmth that’s in place, it seems as if the immediate NYC area is in for a fairly significant rain event over the next 36 hours with swirling winds and heavier downpours at times. The current expectation (as of about 5am – when this was written) is for about 2.5 inches of rain over the next couple of days, with the possibility of some heavier wet snow at the very tail-end of the storm late Thursday night into Friday morning.
However, keep your eyes on the forecast, as I’ve witnessed, the official weather reports are typically on the conservative side (based on what is mostly factual), and just a 50-mile jog east or west can significantly change this forecast (I’m thinking we’ll get more rain than they think).