I survived Hurricane Hermine
I survived Hurricane Hermine
While we “memorialized” what was once Hurricane Hermine (for the record – and in case something did happen), it’s an amazing “case study” of humanity. Hence, the “I survived Hurricane Hermine” memes flying around these days.
The hype, the fear, the warnings, and even MANDATORY evacuations that took place was astounding.
Shore businesses were “pissed” because of the inaccuracy as well.
This sums it up:
[“I survived Hurricane Hermine t-shirts available soon!”]
So what went wrong with Hurricane Hermine?
We watched this event almost since it’s inception nearly three weeks ago. A slow-moving, hard to predict “storm.” While it did become Hurricane Hermine (albeit briefly), it didn’t cause notable catastrophic damage.
Yes, computer models are not ever 100% accurate – just algorithms that take historical data, and other “known” scientific “actions / reactions” and TRY to formulate some kind of “best guess” of what will (or can possibly) take place.
And in certain instances (usually when the conditions are “simple” enough), those models can be considered reliable. But when they encounter somewhat new or rare conditions, they often fail miserably.
In this instance, nearly every “reliable” model suggested that the hurricane would essential “reform” and batter the NYC tri-state and mid-Atlantic shorelines. Some fear-mongering weather-nerds even went as far as to say “worse than Hurricane Sandy.” Fuck me sideways.
And that is where the problem stemmed. People TRUSTED those models. Almost like gospel. Weather enthusiasts, professional forecasters, and scientists alike – ONLY looked at the models and practically believed them as truth. Not many people “thought outside the box” for a minute. They were too accustomed to their friendly robotic counterpart.
But what happened? The “storm” defied all the models. It went way further east than predicted, lost strength, and fizzled out.
Better safe than sorry?
As a defense to the forecasters – it was probably better to be safe than sorry.
They had what has proven to be in the past – “reliable” information. Whether they could put stock into those ominous outlooks or not – was probably something they didn’t want to find out the hard way.
So maybe it’s best to chalk it up as a human learning experience – and find happiness that no one was truly decimated or anything.
Maybe by design?
I always like throwing this out – that maybe this was just a big, sick, social experiment?
To see how the public reacts. To see who follows and who doesn’t follow “warnings” or other scary “mandatory” evacuations.
Or maybe to see what kind of economic impact misinformation can have on a populous. Or how indoctrinated by “mainstream” news people still are. Weather is one of those things that not many people take a serious interest in (i.e., ignorant). So perhaps it’s one of the few remaining “fear” triggers that can still shift the herd.
Dunno – but it was fascinating to watch at the very least. And I can bet that many politicians in the potentially affected areas were profoundly disappointed that an attention-grabbing devastating event did not happen to them. No “headlines” or spotlights on them. Sick as it sounds, that is how sociopaths and psychopaths think. Tsk, tsk.
Anyway – Hurricane season is far from over – so we’ll see what happens before the winter. Joy.