Blizzard Warning
Blizzard Warning in effect for Hoboken, NJ
2/7/2013 Update: Batten down the hatches, folks! A Blizzard Warning is now in effect!
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY.
- HAZARD TYPES: HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS.
- ACCUMULATIONS: SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 10 TO 14 INCHES, WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS WITHIN DEVELOPING SNOW BANDS.
- WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.
- TEMPERATURES: FALLING INTO THE 20S BY FRIDAY EVENING.
- VISIBILITIES: ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.
- TIMING: THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HEAVIEST SNOW WILL OCCUR FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
IMPACTS: HEAVY SNOW AND WINDS WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO IN WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS. IN ADDITION, SOME TREE LIMBS WILL BE DOWNED, CAUSING SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS:
A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS, MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL, HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED, STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.
Winter Storm Watch for Hoboken, NJ
2/6/2013:
Oh boy – looks like we’re not going to get through this winter unscathed like last year. A winter storm watch is now in effect through Saturday afternoon!
From the National Weather Service:
WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH… WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
- HAZARD TYPES: HEAVY SNOW.
- ACCUMULATIONS: SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 10 INCHES.
- WINDS: NORTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.
- TEMPERATURES: IN THE LOWER 30S.
- VISIBILITIES: ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.
- TIMING: FRIDAY EVENING INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
IMPACTS: HEAVY SNOW WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IN ADDITION, THE HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS COULD RESULT IN NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AND BRING DOWN SOME TREE LIMBS, AND CAUSE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS:
A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW, SLEET, OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.
Hoboken NJ
February 6th, 2013 |
Snowball fight!
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February 6th, 2013 |
By the way, some forecasters are suggesting even more snow than the current prediction… stay tuned – it has the potential to blow up much bigger than they’re thinking. Folks further northeast (CT, MA) may see 2-3 feet or more. Amateur weather geeks are already using the acronym “BECS” (Biblical East Cost Storm).
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February 6th, 2013 |
I predict a non-event based on nothing. Let’s see who gets it right.
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February 6th, 2013 |
Should I bring a sleeping bag to EWR if I am flying on Friday?
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February 7th, 2013 |
Models are wobbling at the moment – but it seems as if at this time (1am Thurs.) that the general consensus is that the brunt of the storm is moving slightly east. Which means the eastern areas of MA, CT, RI areas are in the bulls eye.
That can, of course change as we get closer to impact. 50 miles one direction or another makes a huge difference.
Here in Hoboken, a 6 inch snowfall is still realistic, though (although some models now indicate a possibility of a 12+ snowfall for our area).
We won’t know until it’s all over!
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February 8th, 2013 |
For the weather geeks – here is the latest discussion about the storm. The two weather systems aren’t “combining” the way they thought it would, at least not when they thought it would:
SO FAR…THE SNOW HAS BEEN FALLING BUT NOT EXACTLY PILING UP IN MOST
PLACE. THERE IS SOME DRY AIR IN THE LOWER LEVELS THAT HAS BEEN HARD
FOR THE SNOW TO REACH THE GROUND WITH MUCH INTENSITY.
INTERESTING…THERE ARE QUITE A FEW DBZ VALUES IN THE GREEN (VALUES
>20 BUT < THAN 30) SHOWING UP ON OUR RADARS.
IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS WE ARE CONFIDENT SNOWFALL RATES WILL
RAMP UP TO AT MODERATE INTENSITY. (ALREADY HAS DONE SO IN THE
POUGHKEEPSIE AREA).
BELIEVE IT OR NOT…THE NORTHERN DISTURBANCE IS STILL VERY MUCH OF
ENTITY OF ITS OWN….LOCATED NEAR BUFFALO NEW YORK. THE SOUTHERN
STREAM…QUITE POTENT CONTINUES TO BE AN OPEN WAVE AND CONTINUES TO
TRACK NORTHEAST. THERE ARE STILL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SOUTHERN DISTURBANCE…BUT NOT AS MUCH AS
BEFORE. BECAUSE THE NORTHERN SYSTEM REMAINS SEPARATE…IT APPEARS TO
BE NUDGING OF THE COASTAL STORM TO THE NORTHEAST.
THE MODELS STILL TRACK THE STORM WELL OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST. WE
ARE CONCERNED THAT THE HEAVY SNOW MIGHT NOT LAST AS LONG IN AREA.
STILL..WE ARE QUITE CONFIDENT A HEALTHY OF IMPRESSIVE UPWARD MOTION
WILL BE THE RESULT OF THE INTERACTION BETWEEN THE TROUGH TO THE
NORTHWEST AND THE ONE OFF THE JERSEY COAST..EVEN THOUGH IT APPEARS
THAT THESE MIGHT NOT PHASE ANYTIME SOON.
THE 18Z NAM TRENDED SLIGHTLY LOWER WITH ITS QPF BUT NOT MUCH. IT
DOES GIVE ALBANY SLIGHTLY UNDER AN INCH…AND AMOUNTS ABOUT 1.5+
INCHES OVER LITCHFIELD COUNTY. SO…IT LOOKS A LOT LIKE THE ECMWF
(EUROPEAN MODEL) NOW.
NO REAL CHANGES TO THE OVERALL FORECAST REGARDING SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.
WE DID HOWEVER…SCALE POPS A LITTLE ON SATURDAY AS IT APPEARS THE
STORM WILL END A LITTLE QUICKER THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT.
LOOK FOR SNOWFALL RATES REACHING AROUND AN INCH PER HOUR BY ABOUT 6
OR 7PM THROUGHOUT MOST OF OUR AREA…2-3 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES
ACROSS AREAS TO SOUTH AND EAST OF ALBANY. THESE WILL LAST THROUGH
THE EVENING.
THE SNOW WILL THEN SLOWLY ABATE OVERNIGHT…STILL COMING DOWN AT
RATES OF HALF AN INCH TO AN INCH PER HOUR. THE WIND WILL PICK UP
LATER THIS EVENING…FIRST TO OUR SOUTHEAST AND THEN EVENTUALLY
ACROSS OUR ENTIRE REGION OVERNIGHT. WE CONTINUE WITH BLIZZARD
WARNINGS ACROSS LITCHFIELD COUNTY WHERE THE WIND WILL FREQUENTLY
GUST BETWEEN 35-45 MPH…BLOWING AND DRIFTING THE SNOW AROUND.
ELSEWHERE THE WIND WILL NOT BE A STRONG…INCREASING NORTH OR
NORTHEAST 15-25 MPH.
EITHER WAY…ROADS WILL BECOME VERY TREACHEROUS IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE TO
TRAVEL OVERNIGHT…ESPECIALLY DOWN IN THE LITCHFIELD COUNTY.
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