Christmas 2015 Snow Storm
Farmers’ Almanac says: Christmas 2015 Snow Storm!
For the first time in maybe two decades – I picked up a 2016 copy of The Old Farmers’ Almanac.
I’m looking forward to this trip down memory lane. My father used to buy a copy of the Farmers’ Almanac every year. And I took pleasure in reading it. The avalanche of data in that booklet was great. While it paled in comparison to today’s internet browser, it was a then-equivalent of an information gold mine.
I remember lots of stuff in this booklet (used to be stapled in the center from what I recall – now it’s bound). Sun, moon and stars. Various helpful articles. And most importantly was THE WEATHER FORECAST.
Nothing pleased me more than when the Farmers’ Almanac called for a “blizzard” or “snowstorm” at some random point in the future. I used to torture my oldest brother with tales of doom and gloom as to when the next major winter event would crush our area (he hated snow, in case you were wondering…)
2016 Farmers’ Almanac calls for Christmas “snowstorm”
So while shopping for kitchen essentials at Rite Aid (ran out of aluminum foil), I found a copy of the 2016 Old Farmers’ Almanac. It was time to see what it’s all about. $7.00 (minus my 20% discount) was not such a bad deal, I guess.
And in flipping through various articles (and some very bad advertisements), I got to the “Weather forecast” section.
For the East Coast area (NYC Tri-State) they indicated a “snowstorm” will occur between the 24th and 27th of December.
That would give Hoboken, NJ a “White Christmas.”
How does the Farmers’ Almanac get their data?
Whether they make this shit up or not doesn’t concern me. It’s impossible to precisely predict the weather more than 48 hours out. Even 12 hours out is still imperfect.
My guess is that they used “long term models” (or an ensemble of long term models to “average out” what trend might occur), and they published whatever it was at the time of printing. Can’t reverse print.
Their “year long” forecast, then is really crap. Because large systems (like hurricanes, or other anomolies) can throw all models off – so the first thing that screws their forecast – will likely skew the entire annual forecast to the point where it’s just “luck of the draw.” Monkeys could also be forecasters.
But it’s still a fun “throwback” too look a this book, despite it’s (proven to be) inaccurate weather forecasts. Heck, a broken clock is right twice a day!
The Farmer’s Almanac is a great addition to any modern bathroom. A sweet alternative to the iPad or other internet-connected device while you “do your business!”